Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 106.605265 122.811746 141.981293 166.704013 198.318155 238.231520 293.883693
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 84.063089 103.315612 128.523399 165.209261 219.647313 302.076900 447.533739
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 71.378397 91.077945 118.482965 161.540198 232.252817 354.917341 619.423192
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 63.520667 83.409163 112.416605 160.919029 247.820759 418.780557 873.140129
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 57.972658 77.943443 108.247133 161.726362 265.436715 496.111545 1268.979478
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 52.292519 71.432750 101.270270 155.954355 268.290718 543.070357 1671.328442
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 49.947291 69.661803 101.511679 162.958809 299.898183 686.633424 2965.367420
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 45.995942 64.887774 96.020104 157.863098 302.471230 749.618289 4212.976147
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 43.566564 62.305815 93.934543 159.060633 320.914852 886.352882 7768.100569
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 40.937968 59.136350 90.400836 156.542817 328.893682 995.001533 14192.734599
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 40.504545 59.587249 93.455427 168.845889 384.363543 1418.133790 142786.167192
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 40.869153 61.423374 99.343135 189.201672 479.108965 2411.032915 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 38.528203 58.501802 96.048795 187.841926 503.413425 3073.823976 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 36.316451 55.662990 92.665941 185.813216 526.426363 3981.935119 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 34.169100 52.746256 88.750927 181.466179 537.684279 4941.917430 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 32.547071 50.665535 86.335699 180.728797 566.314320 6874.521881 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 31.216330 49.018525 84.644017 181.686662 605.751970 10636.299089 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 29.451213 46.414585 80.594549 174.847317 598.988676 12695.715627 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.876880 46.052768 81.450740 183.149641 689.932598 34633.221796 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 27.424823 43.876679 77.989862 177.106758 685.576137 48320.506302 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.547887 42.775076 76.882539 178.525462 736.180973 159831.222251 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 25.480621 41.227122 74.591823 175.543659 752.905778 570117.050824 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 25.445770 41.740287 77.200768 190.150560 939.329246 NaN NaN